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Property Pension Club

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Buy to Let - Risks

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As with any investment or business decision, there are risks. Doing nothing also carries risks, in that you lose the benefit you could have got or find your savings devalued over time.

Technically the higher the gearing the higher the risk,  the reasons for this are:-

  • Very high gearing caries a premium in costs
  • Higher borrowing has to be supported from rental
  • You may get stuck in an equity trap and not be able to raise more capital to expand further
  • You have to get a higher rent to cover costs so in an oversupply situation you are going to have larger voids (empty periods) and less scope to adjust rents
  • If you paid too much for the property it could be worth a lot less than you paid for it

However as long as you can pay the mortgage, and therefore have tenants paying you the rents so this can happen, what happens to the price cannot give you real problems, as in the case of other investments over time. The mortgage is paid off and you have whatever equity value left in the property. Even if the property fell to half its value due to developments nearby, buying unwisely etc, then you would still end up with half the original price, which is considerably more than you put in. In the example we had on another page we show £15,000 being used to buy a £100,000 house, so even with this worst case example you have £50,000 back against £15,000 in and this will outperform most other investments. If you had a number of houses this would not of course happen on many unless you were extremely incompetent.

If you buy wisely, and at a discount against valuation, or can, immediately having got the property, increase the value, then even if property in the area should drop back you have a property that is worth more than you paid for it.

Don't however get too upset about the threat of negative equity, it won't effect you seriously unless you sell and if you are in for the long term you have no plan to sell at any point anyway. If some drop back and some go forward, you can still raise extra on the ones that have gone up, each is a separate venture.

You should perhaps watch for one other trap, we have seen some people entering. This is with the low start mortgages. The concept of these is to pay less now and more later, and that as property prices and rents rise in the real term the increase in the mortgage does not hit you. If used with low mortgage percentages to maximize income, this is fine, but if used as a part of the formula, in order to allow expensive property to be purchased, and rented out, at in effect a discounted rate, then you have entered a risk area, in that if rents did not rise, you would not be able to pay the increased mortgage later.

So what can you do to reduce risks?

  • Don't overstretch the gearing
  • Know the market for rental property in each area of interest
  • Work out the economics of each property, look at each as a business opportunity not a romantic purchase
  • Always buy at a discount of equity value
  • Be aware of what is happening in the area and around the country
  • Progress everything all the time
  • Avoid unnecessary voids
  • Make sure all tenants are A1
  • Spread your risks by having properties in different areas
  • Don't rely on agents to look after your interests, they will look after their own better
  • Make sure rents are reviewed annually
  • Make models that work in all time frames and situations, and don't use low start mortgages to hide problems
  • Avoid making mistakes

If you understand what you are doing and are on top of things, well lets just say your investments will be as safe as houses. There is no investment that you could make that would be safer.

There are currently many many people making money from property, not only letting but also doing up houses and moving on to another. Even the least competent of these with no understanding of budgets, what adds to the value, and allowing time scales to float, have still been making money.

Clearly in the future some will lose out, particularly those who bought unwisely, but even in this situation it just highlights another opportunity for someone else.

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Property Pension Club Ltd is registered in England and Wales no 4197351. 

Initial enquiries to arrange appointments or in relation to any member service can be sent to ppc @ start-page.org. (there should be no spaces before and after @, we show them here to try and stop our emails being flooded by robots). If you don't get a reply within a few days please call the clubs main number on the contact us page. There have been some problems experienced from time to time where emails get lost, and is not connected with our systems, but larger email handlers routines that edit out emails coming through some mail servers in error. 

The Property Pension Club was established by New Atlantis, a non profit company limited by guarantee, with its prime objective to improve the life of its members. Services and administration is managed by Maximum Coverage Ltd. This web site provided and maintained by Atlantis Virtual World Ltd. A variety of other companies are involved in the supply of services, many through an international service company set up by New Atlantis to allow the coordination of quality services world wide. 

General notice: The club and providers of the information are not financial advisors, the information we provide is equivalent to that you might reasonably expect to find in a quality magazine. It is, as far as we can, well researched, facts checked, and independent, unless clearly shown as a club service. The application of this knowledge is down to you and you must decide what is relevant to you in your own circumstances and if you do not have the ability to decide for yourself  you should seek whatever legal or financial advice that you feel is appropriate. Our crystal balls are well polished, but the future even for us can be less than accurately viewed, and therefore you should consider any projection or view that we may present in relation to the future as a mixture of foresight based on information and probability, personal views with a bit of guesswork thrown in, in exactly the same way as any other person or organizations forecasts are. We will of course try to update our information and views as developments occur, or governments or others change the rules of the game. We can make mistakes, or have written something that makes perfect sense to us, but may be unclear for others, if you feel we have then you should let us know, we also like to be told what a good job we are doing.

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